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I'd take that statement with a grain of salt. If there's something that COVID has taught me is that in reality exponential curves almost always turn into sigmoi
by DanielVZ 5y ago
I'd take that statement with a grain of salt. If there's something that COVID has taught me is that in reality exponential curves almost always turn into sigmoids wherever there are limiting factors. The key here is where the curve starts flattening.
The same goes for infinite growth. In the close future it sure looks infinite, but I'd say it's infinitely hard too to predict what will happen in say a 100 years (a fourth of the time before we hit the heat death wall predicted here).
- codethief 5y agoSigh. I really shouldn't have included a quote in my comment and instead only linked to the full text. That text is exactly an argument against infinite economic growth – and it carries out said argument by looking at energy consumption (which necessarily grows with economic activity).
- DanielVZ 5y agoYeah I read it. Thats why I said that bit about infinite economic growth. I felt that by saying that exponential heat growth is probably sigmoid I was somehow validating the notion of infinite growth, which I think sometime in an unforeseeable future will just plateau.
- codethief 5y agoAh, sorry, looks like I misunderstood. :)