I was surprised to find that it's not on any of the obvious prediction markets. Anyway, I'm a bit of a JWST pessimist too, but I don't find any of your argumen

I was surprised to find that it's not on any of the obvious prediction markets. Anyway, I'm a bit of a JWST pessimist too, but I don't find any of your arguments very convincing. It feels like you're cherrypicking bad things about the program without doing a very good job quantifying why they're supposed to matter in the big picture of absolute risk.