The analysis is absolute garbage for forward risk. 1. 1/5000 daily is 7% on an annual basis. Who cares about a daily rate? 2. I downloaded covid data for jul

The analysis is absolute garbage for forward risk. 1. 1/5000 daily is 7% on an annual basis. Who cares about a daily rate? 2. I downloaded covid data for jul 1-aug 26th and found daily average was 80,000. Us average 160,000 now. So right off the bat, 2x underestimate. Up to 14% annual risk. 3. Infections are estimated to be about 3x greater than reported cases. So now up to 42% annual risk. 4. Delta is associated with breakthroughs. It was 60% jul 1st. Now 100%. So this also should increase breakthrough risk. Risk of infection at current case rates likes around 50% for a vaccinated person in the US, on average. Not so comforting once you make the necessary adjustments above. I do not think they made a serious attempt at analysis. I used Our World In Data for all stats.