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If you ever needed proof that making predictions is hard, that 2020 thread was a mere 2 months before covid-19 went global, yet nobody in that thread saw it com

• mikewarot 5y ago
  I'd say prediction #7 has relevance from this reply on the thread - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21941998 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21941998 "7. Increase in adoption of non-scientific beliefs such as astrology/anti-vaxx/religion/flat-earth as a counterbalance to the increased complexity of everyday life." And the relevant reply a bit further down - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21942679 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21942679 "> 7. Increase in adoption of non-scientific beliefs such as astrology/anti-vaxx/religion/flat-earth as a counterbalance to the increased complexity of everyday life. God save us from this future. I hope we can educate the dumb out of people, with some free college and better public school systems. Maybe end home-schooling unless we can make sure this doesn't propagate as a result." Update: (Wow, there are a lot of interesting predictions to read) #10 from https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21949721 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21949721 "10. A deadly bacterial/viral disease will kill more than 1 million people worldwide" This one really gets close - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21943870 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21943870 "1. A pandemic kills at least 2 million people. There are theories that the pathogen is bioengineered; they may even turn out to be true."