30 ms·

Predictions for September 2031

31 points by gallerdude 5y ago

mikewarot 5y ago
That's a fun list. I wish you all the luck in your quest to become a person good enough that Zendaya would want to marry.
- gallerdude 5y ago
  Thanks! And I equally wish you luck on whatever improbable yet possible dreams you may have.
iso1631 5y ago
> "My car can drive me to the closest local retailer without human intervention - 50%" How about "I need to drive to the closest local retailer without human intervention". In many cities there's already the ability to buy anything without leaving your home, hell even our village shop will deliver at short notice. "A lot can happen in 10 years. In 10 years I could be unemployed, divorced, and an alcoholic. I could also have a PhD, billionaire, and married to Zendaya. And there’s a giant spectrum of possibilities between those two paths." You could even be an unemployed alcoholic billionaire with a PHd who just got divorced from Zendaya
- gallerdude 5y ago
  > You could even be an unemployed alcoholic billionaire with a PHd who just got divorced from Zendaya My initial draft had a line really similar to that, great minds… Also, all things considered, I think that’d be a better than average outcome. Alcoholism and heartbreak can be overcome.
- abecedarius 5y ago
  Classic story re that last line: https://www.baen.com/Chapters/9781618249203/9781618249203___2.htm https://www.baen.com/Chapters/9781618249203/9781618249203___...
  - tuatoru 5y ago
    Thanks for that!
dvh 5y ago
I predict that in 2031 no major car company will offer self driving technology (besides emergency auto breaking) in personal cars. Even Tesla will stop offering what it has now. Reason: too many lawsuits.
- gallerdude 5y ago
  Not a lawyer, but couldn’t you make people sign a waiver before activating the feature?
  - anthony_r 5y ago
    How do you make a third-party pedestrian to sign the waiver?
    - iso1631 5y ago
      Pedestrian would have the claim against the car driver surely, the car driver would be unable to blame the "autopilot", just like they can't blame cruise control today.
    - therufa 5y ago
      by bumping into them?
    - gizmo686 5y ago
      You don't. The waiver between the ownee and manufacturer specifies that the owner is liable. Beyond that point, insurance solves the issue. Currently, the driver is liable and is required by law to carry liability insurance, so there is not much change from the consumer perspective. From the insurer perspective, the relevent data point us how often self driving cars mess up compared to human driven ones.
      - tcmart14 5y ago
        This is a good point that introduces more complexity into the problem. Whether or not AI driving flourishes can be determined by more than regulations or manufacturers themselves. If insurance companies decide from their risk calculations that insuring cars with an auto-pilot is too much risk and therefore refuse to insure them, that could also kill self-driving cars.
cgrealy 5y ago
> Mickey Mouse is in the Public Domain - 70% Honestly, I think it's more likely that we'll have ALL of - superintelligent AGI - contact with a space faring civilisation - the cure for aging than I do that Disney will let copyright on anything go... :D
- gallerdude 5y ago
  I hope both my probability is right and you’re probabilities are correct, leaving us with a >70% of all of above
inetsee 5y ago
"I am a millionaire - 5% I am an educated in the field of Computer Science, the field known for startups. The only disadvantage I have here is laziness." I have reason to believe that my IQ is greater than 140, and my area of expertise is software development. I am also a World Class procrastinator. My net worth now (after retiring) is about $million, but at least 2/3 of that is due to my wife, who is exceptionally disciplined. I think laziness reduces your chance of becoming a millionaire in 10 years significantly.
- ffhhj 5y ago
  Or you can certainly be 5% of a millionaire by saving $50,000.
  - jareklupinski 5y ago
    that takes a lot of discipline
duckmysick 5y ago
It reminds me of Metaculus, community-generated predictions about various future events. https://www.metaculus.com/questions/ https://www.metaculus.com/questions/
- gallerdude 5y ago
  I love metaculus! I also probably check PredictIt [0] daily. In 10 years, since I have all of these listed as probabilities, I can check my Brier Score [1] [0] https://www.predictit.org/ https://www.predictit.org/ [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brier_score?wprov=sfti1 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brier_score?wprov=sfti1
makach 5y ago
In software development? Anger will consume you 80%
- makach 5y ago
  But kudos. This is one of the most creative articles I’ve read lately. Your future is brights. Try many things. Getting kids is definite one of the highlights of my life, don’t fear becoming a parent.
  - gallerdude 5y ago
    Thanks!
zamadatix 5y ago
Somewhat relevant: Predictions by HN from 2010 on the upcoming decade - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1025681 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1025681 Predictions by HN from 2020 on the upcoming decade - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21941278 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21941278
- abetusk 5y ago
  These are great, thanks. Someone should do an analysis after the fact to see how well the predictions went. We might even want to do them at smaller intervals, like 1, 2 and 5 years. The thing that's missing from a lot of the predictions is verifiability, though. As in, some predictions are vague enough so that it could be interpreted in a variety of ways. It'd be good to make the requirement "here is a concrete measure for which, if my prediction doesn't meet it, it will be considered invalid".
  - JProthero 5y ago
    I enjoyed going back through the 2010 thread too. Just for fun, below are my judgments on some of the predictions, as an all-knowing resident of the 2010 commenters' misty future. For anyone who is really into making clear predictions, the Long Now Foundation has a website where people can place 'accountable' bets at https://longbets.org/ https://longbets.org/ I've divided my comments on the 2010 thread into three categories: Hits, Hit and Miss, and Misses. I'll start with the misses. Misses: 2010 Prediction: Major changes will happen in Iran, one way or the other. The current trajectory they are on does not seem sustainable for a decade. —DanielBMarkham 2021 Review: Iran's power structure is largely unchanged for now. 2010 Prediction: During the second half of the decade, the Chinese bubble will burst. This will be a quite heavy shock. A lot of people will lose a lot of money. A younger/more populist group of politicians will assume power in China. —DrJokepu 2021 Review: This hasn't happened yet, though growth does appear to be slowing in China. I think it's interesting to note the use of the word 'populist' here; perhaps what the author had in mind was 'more responsive to popular opinion and less repressive' as opposed to 'nativist rabble rousing', which tends to be what people mean by 'populist' in 2021. Xi Jingping arguably is more populist by the latter definition, but not the former, and he isn't significantly younger than his predecessors. 2010 Prediction: Hugo Chavez & his friends will be removed from power in Venezuela. —DrJokepu 2021 Review: Chavez died in 2013, but his party and his chosen successor are still in power, despite an economic and political crisis that began in 2014, and a disputed presidential election in 2019. 2010 Prediction: Megan Fox or Jessica Biel is nominated for best supporting actress. —kevbin 2021 Review: If this referred to the Academy Awards, it didn't pan out. Both were nominated at the Golden Raspberry Awards for Worst Supporting Actress however, and Fox won for her role in 2015's Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles. 2010 Prediction: Still no Duke Nukem Forever. —DrJokepu 2021 Review: It was released the following year. 2010 Prediction: Unauthenticated free wifi becomes nearly extinct after a major hacking incident is traced to Panera Bread (or similar) and a court rules that companies are liable for the actions of those on their free wifi networks. Realizing this, companies force authentication on everyone or turn off their wifi all together. —ericb 2021 Review: Nope. 2010 Prediction: External brain-computer interfaces make progress, and typing begins to be replaced by the end of the decade. —ericb 2021 Review: Brain-computer interfaces are still mostly laboratory projects for now, and typing shows no signs of being replaced yet. Even voice interaction remains impractical for anything other than simple commands. 2010 Prediction: Boeing Dreamliner Delayed Until 2022 —edw519 2021 Review: The first Boeing Dreamliner commercial flight took place in 2011, though this was a humorous prediction. 2010 Prediction: Facebook will be gone in 5 years, just like MySpace. —InclinedPlane 2021 Review: Facebook was still very much around in 2020 and the company's market capitalisation is approaching a trillion dollars. 2010 Prediction: No more airline travel hassles in the USA, people will be able to board and fly without government restrictions or searches. —Scott_MacGregor 2021 Review: Nope. 2010 Prediction: Taxes in California will be the lowest in the nation. —Scott_MacGregor 2021 Review: Nope. 2010 Prediction: Politically, Generation-X will be in power--look out. —Scott_MacGregor 2021 Review: The current US President was born in the 1940s, as were both his predecessor and his strongest competitor in the primaries. 2010 Prediction: Everyone will have their full genome sequenced if they need some sort of medical treatment. —brfox 2021 Review: This hasn't happened yet, but it does seem plausible for the not-too-distant-future, and relatively inexpensive SNP-based sequencing kits for ancestry and basic health insights are widely available to consumers. 2010 Prediction: Healthcare will start to become cheaper due to personalized medicine and more data based decision-making. —brfox 2021 Review: Healthcare costs are still exorbitant in the US and personalised medicine is generally expensive. This prediction might yet come to pass further in the future, but the timescale wasn't right. 2010 Prediction: Telerobots become commonplace. These will be not much more than a wheeled or tracked base with a pole and holder for a mobile phone. It allows you to visit people in their homes, visit companies or customers, provide some kinds of medical service and carry out inspections of remote sites. —motters 2021 Review: Nope. 2010 Prediction: the first terrorist small nuclear detonation —slvrspoon 2021 Review: Fortunately this one was a miss for the last decade.
bellyfullofbac 5y ago
Somehow I first thought 2031 would be 20 years from now, and that this was written by a 13 year old. Nope, it's 10 years away, damn how time has flown. If you're born in 1992 or earlier, the present is closer to the year 2050 than to your birth. Well, if I were a betting man, I would not bet a lot of money on Trump still being around and fit for the 2028 elections (which he'd have to win for him to be president in 2031). But I would not bet a lot of money against it either. Also, OP's fandom of 2 particular companies is obvious...
d_silin 5y ago
For what's it worth, at 19 I forecasted myself to found a space startup by 36. The dream came true, but a lot happened in between those dates.
tuatoru 5y ago
How do people make so many predictions? To make even one prediction, asking "what would have to happen for this to come true?", and following that chain back to the answer to the other question, "where are we now?" --all of that takes me hours at best, often months. A wish is not a prediction.
- don-code 5y ago
  My hope is that the author, 10 years from now, will reflect on _why_ he thought these things, and gain some profound enlightenment from them. I can identify many beliefs about the state of the present (now the past), and the state of the future (now the present), that I held around that same age, and that I'm now embarrassed by. I had no fully-formed idea of what success looked like, save for the meager success I'd enjoyed up to that point. Yet somehow, I felt qualified to hold those beliefs anyway. Case in point: I at 24 (roughly the same age as the author, minus one year) was having a talk with a 37-year-old colleague, where he brought up a statistic he'd read: $27 million was self-sustaining - that, due to diminishing returns, you'd be living the same lifestyle solely off the interest proceeds, if you didn't work another day in your life. My first thought was, "that's not fully out of the realm of possibility - that's maybe even doable!" That was back when I was in the exponential growth phase of my career - I'd just graduated college, and had the word "Junior" dropped from my title shortly thereafter. I now know that's ridiculous, and I look back at 24-year-old me with some contempt for having thought it.
deleted 5y ago
[deleted]
41209 5y ago
I actually find this type of wishing to be very harmful. The future doesn't exist. I would have been more interested in seeing how this person plans on improving themselves over the next decade. For example I'm spending a good amount of money to learn Mandarin right now. I don't expect to be fluent, but within 10 years I would like to be able to ask about the weather. I would have rather read something with concrete goals. Not just oh hopefully maybe I'll be married and happy by then. Life is an insanely strange journey and the more you try to plan the more disappointed you'll become. When it comes to finding a partner, excessive planning is actually very harmful. You start to develop the strange idea that your owed something, or if you do x y and z a partner will materialize. I have several friends who are divorced now, you just can't predict the future. You might fall in love with someone amazing and then they suffer a breakdown and can no longer continue the relationship. Or you might be the one who suffers a breakdown. It's hard enough to predict what you're going to be doing next month to be honest. Why try to guess what's going to happen in the next decade?
- bigwavedave 5y ago
  > It's hard enough to predict what you're going to be doing next month to be honest. Why try to guess what's going to happen in the next decade? ... for fun? No one is making plans and saying "oh I better dump my Disney stock in 2030 because I think Mickey Mouse will be in the public domain in 2031 and that will only happen if the company goes bankrupt for some reason." This is just for laughs. Not everything has to be all serious all the time.
loxias 5y ago
This was entertaining, but as someone in their late 30s, to someone in their early 20s, some unsolicited advice: * The health related stuff really catches up with you. I was skinny/lanky my whole life (and don't exercise) until suddenly 35 happens and BOOM "you got fat!" It's really, really annoying. * My mind isn't as "spry" as it used to be. This, combined with skills that are not at the peek of demand makes interviewing, and employment, more difficult than it has ever been in my life. I wish I had planned for this, instead of bouncing between companies for my whole career.
jareklupinski 5y ago
> My primary computing device is made by Apple - 60% I'm trying so very, very hard to provide an open alternative that matches its value-prop...

31 points by gallerdude 5y ago

That's a fun list. I wish you all the luck in your quest to become a person good enough that Zendaya would want to marry.

gallerdude 5y ago
Thanks! And I equally wish you luck on whatever improbable yet possible dreams you may have.

iso1631 5y ago

> "My car can drive me to the closest local retailer without human intervention - 50%" How about "I need to drive to the closest local retailer without human intervention". In many cities there's already the ability to buy anything without leaving your home, hell even our village shop will deliver at short notice. "A lot can happen in 10 years. In 10 years I could be unemployed, divorced, and an alcoholic. I could also have a PhD, billionaire, and married to Zendaya. And there’s a giant spectrum of possibilities between those two paths." You could even be an unemployed alcoholic billionaire with a PHd who just got divorced from Zendaya

gallerdude 5y ago
> You could even be an unemployed alcoholic billionaire with a PHd who just got divorced from Zendaya My initial draft had a line really similar to that, great minds… Also, all things considered, I think that’d be a better than average outcome. Alcoholism and heartbreak can be overcome.
abecedarius 5y ago
Classic story re that last line: https://www.baen.com/Chapters/9781618249203/9781618249203___2.htm https://www.baen.com/Chapters/9781618249203/9781618249203___...
- tuatoru 5y ago
  Thanks for that!

dvh 5y ago

I predict that in 2031 no major car company will offer self driving technology (besides emergency auto breaking) in personal cars. Even Tesla will stop offering what it has now. Reason: too many lawsuits.

gallerdude 5y ago
Not a lawyer, but couldn’t you make people sign a waiver before activating the feature?
- anthony_r 5y ago
  How do you make a third-party pedestrian to sign the waiver?
  - iso1631 5y ago
    Pedestrian would have the claim against the car driver surely, the car driver would be unable to blame the "autopilot", just like they can't blame cruise control today.
  - therufa 5y ago
    by bumping into them?
  - gizmo686 5y ago
    You don't. The waiver between the ownee and manufacturer specifies that the owner is liable. Beyond that point, insurance solves the issue. Currently, the driver is liable and is required by law to carry liability insurance, so there is not much change from the consumer perspective. From the insurer perspective, the relevent data point us how often self driving cars mess up compared to human driven ones.
    - tcmart14 5y ago
      This is a good point that introduces more complexity into the problem. Whether or not AI driving flourishes can be determined by more than regulations or manufacturers themselves. If insurance companies decide from their risk calculations that insuring cars with an auto-pilot is too much risk and therefore refuse to insure them, that could also kill self-driving cars.

cgrealy 5y ago

> Mickey Mouse is in the Public Domain - 70% Honestly, I think it's more likely that we'll have ALL of - superintelligent AGI - contact with a space faring civilisation - the cure for aging than I do that Disney will let copyright on anything go... :D

gallerdude 5y ago
I hope both my probability is right and you’re probabilities are correct, leaving us with a >70% of all of above

inetsee 5y ago

"I am a millionaire - 5% I am an educated in the field of Computer Science, the field known for startups. The only disadvantage I have here is laziness." I have reason to believe that my IQ is greater than 140, and my area of expertise is software development. I am also a World Class procrastinator. My net worth now (after retiring) is about $million, but at least 2/3 of that is due to my wife, who is exceptionally disciplined. I think laziness reduces your chance of becoming a millionaire in 10 years significantly.

ffhhj 5y ago
Or you can certainly be 5% of a millionaire by saving $50,000.
- jareklupinski 5y ago
  that takes a lot of discipline

duckmysick 5y ago

It reminds me of Metaculus, community-generated predictions about various future events. https://www.metaculus.com/questions/ https://www.metaculus.com/questions/

gallerdude 5y ago
I love metaculus! I also probably check PredictIt [0] daily. In 10 years, since I have all of these listed as probabilities, I can check my Brier Score [1] [0] https://www.predictit.org/ https://www.predictit.org/ [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brier_score?wprov=sfti1 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brier_score?wprov=sfti1

makach 5y ago

In software development? Anger will consume you 80%

makach 5y ago
But kudos. This is one of the most creative articles I’ve read lately. Your future is brights. Try many things. Getting kids is definite one of the highlights of my life, don’t fear becoming a parent.
- gallerdude 5y ago
  Thanks!

zamadatix 5y ago

Somewhat relevant: Predictions by HN from 2010 on the upcoming decade - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1025681 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1025681 Predictions by HN from 2020 on the upcoming decade - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21941278 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21941278

abetusk 5y ago
These are great, thanks. Someone should do an analysis after the fact to see how well the predictions went. We might even want to do them at smaller intervals, like 1, 2 and 5 years. The thing that's missing from a lot of the predictions is verifiability, though. As in, some predictions are vague enough so that it could be interpreted in a variety of ways. It'd be good to make the requirement "here is a concrete measure for which, if my prediction doesn't meet it, it will be considered invalid".
- JProthero 5y ago
  I enjoyed going back through the 2010 thread too. Just for fun, below are my judgments on some of the predictions, as an all-knowing resident of the 2010 commenters' misty future. For anyone who is really into making clear predictions, the Long Now Foundation has a website where people can place 'accountable' bets at https://longbets.org/ https://longbets.org/ I've divided my comments on the 2010 thread into three categories: Hits, Hit and Miss, and Misses. I'll start with the misses. Misses: 2010 Prediction: Major changes will happen in Iran, one way or the other. The current trajectory they are on does not seem sustainable for a decade. —DanielBMarkham 2021 Review: Iran's power structure is largely unchanged for now. 2010 Prediction: During the second half of the decade, the Chinese bubble will burst. This will be a quite heavy shock. A lot of people will lose a lot of money. A younger/more populist group of politicians will assume power in China. —DrJokepu 2021 Review: This hasn't happened yet, though growth does appear to be slowing in China. I think it's interesting to note the use of the word 'populist' here; perhaps what the author had in mind was 'more responsive to popular opinion and less repressive' as opposed to 'nativist rabble rousing', which tends to be what people mean by 'populist' in 2021. Xi Jingping arguably is more populist by the latter definition, but not the former, and he isn't significantly younger than his predecessors. 2010 Prediction: Hugo Chavez & his friends will be removed from power in Venezuela. —DrJokepu 2021 Review: Chavez died in 2013, but his party and his chosen successor are still in power, despite an economic and political crisis that began in 2014, and a disputed presidential election in 2019. 2010 Prediction: Megan Fox or Jessica Biel is nominated for best supporting actress. —kevbin 2021 Review: If this referred to the Academy Awards, it didn't pan out. Both were nominated at the Golden Raspberry Awards for Worst Supporting Actress however, and Fox won for her role in 2015's Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles. 2010 Prediction: Still no Duke Nukem Forever. —DrJokepu 2021 Review: It was released the following year. 2010 Prediction: Unauthenticated free wifi becomes nearly extinct after a major hacking incident is traced to Panera Bread (or similar) and a court rules that companies are liable for the actions of those on their free wifi networks. Realizing this, companies force authentication on everyone or turn off their wifi all together. —ericb 2021 Review: Nope. 2010 Prediction: External brain-computer interfaces make progress, and typing begins to be replaced by the end of the decade. —ericb 2021 Review: Brain-computer interfaces are still mostly laboratory projects for now, and typing shows no signs of being replaced yet. Even voice interaction remains impractical for anything other than simple commands. 2010 Prediction: Boeing Dreamliner Delayed Until 2022 —edw519 2021 Review: The first Boeing Dreamliner commercial flight took place in 2011, though this was a humorous prediction. 2010 Prediction: Facebook will be gone in 5 years, just like MySpace. —InclinedPlane 2021 Review: Facebook was still very much around in 2020 and the company's market capitalisation is approaching a trillion dollars. 2010 Prediction: No more airline travel hassles in the USA, people will be able to board and fly without government restrictions or searches. —Scott_MacGregor 2021 Review: Nope. 2010 Prediction: Taxes in California will be the lowest in the nation. —Scott_MacGregor 2021 Review: Nope. 2010 Prediction: Politically, Generation-X will be in power--look out. —Scott_MacGregor 2021 Review: The current US President was born in the 1940s, as were both his predecessor and his strongest competitor in the primaries. 2010 Prediction: Everyone will have their full genome sequenced if they need some sort of medical treatment. —brfox 2021 Review: This hasn't happened yet, but it does seem plausible for the not-too-distant-future, and relatively inexpensive SNP-based sequencing kits for ancestry and basic health insights are widely available to consumers. 2010 Prediction: Healthcare will start to become cheaper due to personalized medicine and more data based decision-making. —brfox 2021 Review: Healthcare costs are still exorbitant in the US and personalised medicine is generally expensive. This prediction might yet come to pass further in the future, but the timescale wasn't right. 2010 Prediction: Telerobots become commonplace. These will be not much more than a wheeled or tracked base with a pole and holder for a mobile phone. It allows you to visit people in their homes, visit companies or customers, provide some kinds of medical service and carry out inspections of remote sites. —motters 2021 Review: Nope. 2010 Prediction: the first terrorist small nuclear detonation —slvrspoon 2021 Review: Fortunately this one was a miss for the last decade.

bellyfullofbac 5y ago

Somehow I first thought 2031 would be 20 years from now, and that this was written by a 13 year old. Nope, it's 10 years away, damn how time has flown. If you're born in 1992 or earlier, the present is closer to the year 2050 than to your birth. Well, if I were a betting man, I would not bet a lot of money on Trump still being around and fit for the 2028 elections (which he'd have to win for him to be president in 2031). But I would not bet a lot of money against it either. Also, OP's fandom of 2 particular companies is obvious...

d_silin 5y ago

For what's it worth, at 19 I forecasted myself to found a space startup by 36. The dream came true, but a lot happened in between those dates.

tuatoru 5y ago

How do people make so many predictions? To make even one prediction, asking "what would have to happen for this to come true?", and following that chain back to the answer to the other question, "where are we now?" --all of that takes me hours at best, often months. A wish is not a prediction.

don-code 5y ago
My hope is that the author, 10 years from now, will reflect on _why_ he thought these things, and gain some profound enlightenment from them. I can identify many beliefs about the state of the present (now the past), and the state of the future (now the present), that I held around that same age, and that I'm now embarrassed by. I had no fully-formed idea of what success looked like, save for the meager success I'd enjoyed up to that point. Yet somehow, I felt qualified to hold those beliefs anyway. Case in point: I at 24 (roughly the same age as the author, minus one year) was having a talk with a 37-year-old colleague, where he brought up a statistic he'd read: $27 million was self-sustaining - that, due to diminishing returns, you'd be living the same lifestyle solely off the interest proceeds, if you didn't work another day in your life. My first thought was, "that's not fully out of the realm of possibility - that's maybe even doable!" That was back when I was in the exponential growth phase of my career - I'd just graduated college, and had the word "Junior" dropped from my title shortly thereafter. I now know that's ridiculous, and I look back at 24-year-old me with some contempt for having thought it.

deleted 5y ago

[deleted]

41209 5y ago

I actually find this type of wishing to be very harmful. The future doesn't exist. I would have been more interested in seeing how this person plans on improving themselves over the next decade. For example I'm spending a good amount of money to learn Mandarin right now. I don't expect to be fluent, but within 10 years I would like to be able to ask about the weather. I would have rather read something with concrete goals. Not just oh hopefully maybe I'll be married and happy by then. Life is an insanely strange journey and the more you try to plan the more disappointed you'll become. When it comes to finding a partner, excessive planning is actually very harmful. You start to develop the strange idea that your owed something, or if you do x y and z a partner will materialize. I have several friends who are divorced now, you just can't predict the future. You might fall in love with someone amazing and then they suffer a breakdown and can no longer continue the relationship. Or you might be the one who suffers a breakdown. It's hard enough to predict what you're going to be doing next month to be honest. Why try to guess what's going to happen in the next decade?

bigwavedave 5y ago
> It's hard enough to predict what you're going to be doing next month to be honest. Why try to guess what's going to happen in the next decade? ... for fun? No one is making plans and saying "oh I better dump my Disney stock in 2030 because I think Mickey Mouse will be in the public domain in 2031 and that will only happen if the company goes bankrupt for some reason." This is just for laughs. Not everything has to be all serious all the time.

loxias 5y ago

This was entertaining, but as someone in their late 30s, to someone in their early 20s, some unsolicited advice: * The health related stuff really catches up with you. I was skinny/lanky my whole life (and don't exercise) until suddenly 35 happens and BOOM "you got fat!" It's really, really annoying. * My mind isn't as "spry" as it used to be. This, combined with skills that are not at the peek of demand makes interviewing, and employment, more difficult than it has ever been in my life. I wish I had planned for this, instead of bouncing between companies for my whole career.

jareklupinski 5y ago

> My primary computing device is made by Apple - 60% I'm trying so very, very hard to provide an open alternative that matches its value-prop...