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Studies have shown that in the Netherlands only a tiny part of the rapidly increasing price is due to shortage and the majority due to investers. The exact oppo
by berkes 5y ago
Studies have shown that in the Netherlands only a tiny part of the rapidly increasing price is due to shortage and the majority due to investers. The exact opposite of what you say.
I'm not saying you are wrong. I'm saying that what you pose as established facts are highly debated in the Netherlands at the least.
I'm on mobile, so finding English studies is hard. Maybe parent author could cite some of the studies (s)he mentions?
https://www.eigenhuis.nl/huis-kopen/starters/artikelen/beleggers https://www.eigenhuis.nl/huis-kopen/starters/artikelen/beleg...
https://www.kadaster.nl/-/opkomst-particuliere-investeerders-op-de-woningmarkt https://www.kadaster.nl/-/opkomst-particuliere-investeerders...
- IkmoIkmo 5y agoSo the study you referenced was ordered by the Minister of the Interior, and it's been the most heavily cited study in the past few years. If you read it, you'll find it explicitly states they could not establish a causal relationship between investors and increased prices. (i.e. it says exactly what I stated). They do find a correlation (which is heavily referenced in the news and misinterpreted), which would be expected. Investors who study the market and are investing professionally, are more likely than the average, and definitely more likely than below-average, to invest in neighbourhoods which turn out to see more price increases than neighbourhoods that investors chose not to invest in. That's of course because it's their job and their expertise. It doesn't mean they're causing the price increases. It's a bit like saying there's a correlation in prices between prices of stocks of companies that professional investors choose to invest in or not. That's obvious, professional investors seek returns, and are expected to invest in such companies. But the investors aren't causing the tech stocks to become valuable. They simply are, by way of their profits. Google (once established) isn't high-value because investors choose to buy its shares. Investors detect the value and pursue to own it. Real estate is no different. Which is why the study found a correlation, but explicitly did not establish a causal relationship.