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> […] and I often choose to use 30-40 year old technologies because it's the most "boring" solution. There's a good chance that it will also be around for a wh

> […] and I often choose to use 30-40 year old technologies because it's the most "boring" solution. There's a good chance that it will also be around for a while in regards to spare parts and such: > The Lindy effect (also known as Lindy's Law[1]) is a theorized phenomenon by which the future life expectancy of some non-perishable things, like a technology or an idea, is proportional to their current age. Thus, the Lindy effect proposes the longer a period something has survived to exist or be used in the present, it is also likely to have a longer remaining life expectancy. * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lindy_effect https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lindy_effect

dotancohen 5y ago
I've mentioned variations on this regarding music. How much garbage is on the radio today? From the last decade? From the last generation? Music hasn't gotten worse, but we're still listening only to the good stuff. Pantera will be around another generation at least, my grandchildren's grandchildren will likely still listen to The Beatles. And starship captians will undoubtedly invite the wives of dignitaries to onboard Mozart recitations en route to the boring interstellar negotiations of their husbands.
- lostlogin 5y ago
  > And starship captians will undoubtedly invite the wives of dignitaries to onboard Mozart recitations en route to the boring interstellar negotiations of their husbands. I hope gender roles will have progressed more by then, though technological progress is often more rapid than social change.
  - bserge 5y ago
    He didn't mention the gender of the wife and husband.
  - dotancohen 5y ago
    I was referring to a specific episode of Star Trek The Next Generation. There is no need to interject social wokeness into every conversation. You are causing attrition, not compassion.
    - vincnetas 5y ago
      most likely your reference was not recognised by parent. neither did i recognized it.
    - spopejoy 5y ago
      > There is no need to interject social wokeness into every conversation Your parent comment "interjected" gender roles into the discussion in a jarring and frankly outdated way. Not sure why an obscure TNG reference makes you immune from all criticism?
pfdietz 5y ago
When applied to humanity as a whole that gives something like the Doomsday Argument. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doomsday_argument https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doomsday_argument

dotancohen 5y ago

I've mentioned variations on this regarding music. How much garbage is on the radio today? From the last decade? From the last generation? Music hasn't gotten worse, but we're still listening only to the good stuff. Pantera will be around another generation at least, my grandchildren's grandchildren will likely still listen to The Beatles. And starship captians will undoubtedly invite the wives of dignitaries to onboard Mozart recitations en route to the boring interstellar negotiations of their husbands.

lostlogin 5y ago
> And starship captians will undoubtedly invite the wives of dignitaries to onboard Mozart recitations en route to the boring interstellar negotiations of their husbands. I hope gender roles will have progressed more by then, though technological progress is often more rapid than social change.
- bserge 5y ago
  He didn't mention the gender of the wife and husband.
- dotancohen 5y ago
  I was referring to a specific episode of Star Trek The Next Generation. There is no need to interject social wokeness into every conversation. You are causing attrition, not compassion.
  - vincnetas 5y ago
    most likely your reference was not recognised by parent. neither did i recognized it.
  - spopejoy 5y ago
    > There is no need to interject social wokeness into every conversation Your parent comment "interjected" gender roles into the discussion in a jarring and frankly outdated way. Not sure why an obscure TNG reference makes you immune from all criticism?

pfdietz 5y ago

When applied to humanity as a whole that gives something like the Doomsday Argument. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doomsday_argument https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doomsday_argument