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The problem I see with electric is the energy density, and the difficulties that come with that. Battery tech has come a long way, but it still has a long way t
by generalizations 5y ago
The problem I see with electric is the energy density, and the difficulties that come with that. Battery tech has come a long way, but it still has a long way to go.
The other trouble is the longevity. I like buying used cars for ~$3k with 100k+ miles on them: pick the right one, and it'll last you another 60k+ miles for the cost of tires and DIY oil changes. From what I understand, current battery tech requires you to buy replacement batteries well before that point, and those batteries are ~$10k. Back of the napkin, that's $1k more than the cost of the ICE car, its maintenance, and the gas to drive it.
It's not just cars, either. Welding - fairly fundamental to construction these days - depends on the availability of cheap power, usually in the form of gas generators. We'll be in a bind of gas isn't available anymore. Not to mention all the other applications for grid-independent electricity generation, which generally depends on gasoline or diesel.
You may be right, and we'll hit that tipping point. If we do, though, I think we'll have a lot of second-order effects that bite us hard.
- josephcsible 5y ago> used cars [...] with 100k+ miles on them > it'll last you another 60k+ miles > current battery tech requires you to buy replacement batteries well before that point That's not true. After 160k miles, EV batteries still have more than 90% of their original capacity: https://electrek.co/2018/04/14/tesla-battery-degradation-data/ https://electrek.co/2018/04/14/tesla-battery-degradation-dat...