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Additionally when companies cut their orders other companies some fabs and other pipeline facilities were shutdown for retooling. Most of the companies that cu
by jpgvm 5y ago
Additionally when companies cut their orders other companies some fabs and other pipeline facilities were shutdown for retooling.
Most of the companies that cut their orders were auto and industrials that projected a prolonged downturn and didn't want to carry the inventory on their books. They predominantly use the components manufactured on less advanced process nodes.
Thus when demand for new process nodes was increasing and old ones were decreasing at the peak of the pandemic it made sense for pipelines to retool to meet that demand instead.
On top of that US-China tensions means SMIC and Hua Hong Semi are now banned for many US producers which is further constraining supply. Also creating asymmetry where China is experiencing lesser a supply crunch. However there is also trouble brewing there due to Trump forcing the Dutch to block export of ASMLs new EUV lithography tech to China.
This means they aren't able to start building fabs w/EUV to fill the coming supply gap there either but instead are now having to pour billions into their own lithography progam. Long term this will be good for the market (but very bad for ASML most likely) but short term its not great.