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>They peak November to April in northern hemisphere countries with strong summers. In the US, things picked up in July and appear to be peaking now. Which is n
by perl4ever 5y ago
>They peak November to April in northern hemisphere countries with strong summers.
In the US, things picked up in July and appear to be peaking now. Which is not November.
Conversely, globally, cases were at a lull as March began and near peak by May.
I'm not saying I can predict the future, but so far, I don't think the pattern you see exists.
>The late August peak has been a southern US phenomenon
I think that's a misleading way to put it, unless you accidentally wrote August when you meant May.
The late August peak is in the global stats, which I linked to.
What seems different for the US is that the spring wave was very attenuated and doesn't show up hardly at all in a graph. We essentially have had two big peaks and not three.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/ https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/
- graeme 5y agoIn 2020 there was a us wave in jul/august. This was strongest in the south. In 2021 there is also a july/august wave, strongest in the south. It is more present in the north than last year’s wave, but not at its biggest there. My prediction is the north will see a bigger wave later in the year as people head inside. You can’t exclude variants either. Alpha was more contagious and got around the world by May, so that trumps seasonality. The May wave also began march/april and peaked later. But for any given variant it would be extremely unusual to see highest activity in summer not winter.