I wish there were more specific numbers than "twice" and "half" and such. Was this generally a 3% likelihood turning into a 6% one? A 20% turning into a 40%? M

I wish there were more specific numbers than "twice" and "half" and such. Was this generally a 3% likelihood turning into a 6% one? A 20% turning into a 40%? More? The takeaways about the process - it's less likely to lead to them leaving if it's early (edit: misread this, looks like later is better) in the process, or if it's in favor of a different internal candidate - are very interesting, nonetheless, but I feel like the headline could be overstated depending on the magnitude of the probabilities.