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I saw a news article that said modelling suggests cases will plateau in about a fortnight in NSW before trending down as the vaccinations start impacting the sp

I saw a news article that said modelling suggests cases will plateau in about a fortnight in NSW before trending down as the vaccinations start impacting the spread. We are also vaccinating like mad right now. The vaccination numbers for the UK were about 160K, and for NSW about 140K, but that's for a pop of 67mil vs 8.1mil. Our first doses for some age groups are also hitting 90%, so I'm taking that to mean there's less vaccine hesitancy here too. NSW did have it's worst day, but I reckon overall we'll be fine.

nl 5y ago
There's no way the improving vaccination rate will have an impact in a fortnight unfortunately. And we'll never see COVID zero again. Micheal Tam's modelling is probably the best widely available a frequently updated[1]. The new daily infections is still increasing, but the rate of increase of new daily infections is finally beginning to decrease. This is probably an effect of the lockdown, and shows how unlikely it is to be free of this before the end of the year. The increased vaccination rate is fantastic. Once we are above 60% or 70% we should be more worried about hospitalisation rates and deaths than infections. [1] https://vitualis.com/?page_id=8354 https://vitualis.com/?page_id=8354