People are actually very bad about judging the past to the present in a unbiased way. That's why we think we are better at predictions than we really are. It'

People are actually very bad about judging the past to the present in a unbiased way. That's why we think we are better at predictions than we really are. It's also why one of the most common essays since written word has existed is complaining about how everything is going downhill. This is why unbiased, scientific studies are important to inform our intuition.