You make a good point about the conditional probabilities. The article also said "most". There is some relatively good data from Israel, but, still, in practi

You make a good point about the conditional probabilities. The article also said "most". There is some relatively good data from Israel, but, still, in practice most doesn't just mean > 50% but is essentially wildly undefined. So apparently the author(s) of the article like to write with emotional adjectives instead of important numerical data. The authors were trained in belle lettre (maybe art as in communication, interpretation of human experience, emotion or VEFEEE -- vicarious escapist fantasy emotional experience entertainment) or just like to grab people by the heart, the gut, below the belt to get eyeballs for ad revenue? Whatever, when they got to most I quit reading.