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> Exchange rates are set by the market, but the interest rate is a decision made in a boardroom Only partly. One of the points the author makes is that centra
by quotemstr 5y ago
> Exchange rates are set by the market, but the interest rate is a decision made in a boardroom
Only partly. One of the points the author makes is that central bank interest rates, while conceptually set arbitrarily "in a boardroom", are constrained to a narrow range by market realities, and attempts by "the boardroom" to set interest rates outside this range result in various forms of economic dysfunction that central banks try hard to avoid.
> Returns on such investments have been high in recent years. CB interest rates translate relatively directly into the cost of borrowing, and the cost of repaying old debts. Interest rates do not determine the return on savings.
Yes and no. We've been in a bull market for so long that people such as yourself have begun to think of investments as simply savings with high yield. You're neglecting to account for risk. CB interest rates set the risk-free savings rate. Of course you can get higher returns by taking more risk, and for most people, taking a bit of risk is the right thing to do.
- dalbasal 5y agoRe: CB interest rates I realize this is controversial, and many economists still disagree. I do think that wind is blowing in my direction though. IMO, this is Monetarism's big mistake. Now that floating exchange rates are the norm, this becomes more clear. Interest rates are not constrained to a narrow range by market realities. CBs can set them to 0%, as we now see. They could set them to 1000% if they chose, since CBs can print arbitrary sums to pay interest. Interest rates have consequences in the economy, but not restrictions. Those exist in a pegged currency world, not in floating exchange world. If depositors don't want to own CB bonds, they can redeem them for dollars/euros. The CB will always have dollars/euros available to make good on that.