The best we can hope for is something like Kim Stanley Robinson's new book "The Ministry For the Future". A hodgepodge of technocratic reforms against a backgro

The best we can hope for is something like Kim Stanley Robinson's new book "The Ministry For the Future". A hodgepodge of technocratic reforms against a background of anthropogenic natural disasters eventually produces a solarpunk degrowth world that's post-capitalist without an an abrupt anti-capitalist revolution. Capitalist powers-that-be go along with it because it's being led by the central banks, and at every step the most profitable option is to go along with it. I don't think we'll get that, though; I expect something more like William Gibson's "Jackpot" (from "The Peripheral" and "Agency"). There's no single collapse, just ongoing failures to solve coordination problems from hundreds of climate-change-spawned disasters, shortages, wars, pandemics, crises, and a century-long excess death toll around 6 billion. When the global kleptocrats pick up the pieces, it ultimately shakes out to cyberpunk ecofascism. The political question of the early 21st century is what can we salvage? And are we able to work together to do so? The tea leaves aren't looking good.