4 ms·
20 years in Afghanistan - screaming out example. "We can't leave because of troops who died would have died for nothing". That's precisely Sunk Cost Fallacy!!
by xyzzy21 5y ago
20 years in Afghanistan - screaming out example.
"We can't leave because of troops who died would have died for nothing". That's precisely Sunk Cost Fallacy!! They are already dead and nothing you do can change that - thus it's not relevant to FUTURE or PRESENT decisions. Only future prospects based on the current situation matter, namely, are the prospects for eliminating terrorism or inculcating democracy into the future good NOW? No? Then cut it off to avoid Sunk Cost Fallacy.
Most people realize that was necessary but again Sunk Cost Fallacy seems to have affected the withdrawal: only the past was consider but not the future costs of leaving "badly".
- dave333 5y agoAfghanistan seems to illustrate both continuing to invest too long (20 years) and then once the decision was made (by Obama) to continue investing enough (some say too much) to prop up a democratic Afghan regime, and then not investing enough to ensure a smooth withdrawal after the regime started to collapse.