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If China wants Taiwan, now is the time to take it. Americans have absolutely 0 appetite for war at the moment (certainly not if we aren't attacked directly), a
by thepasswordis 5y ago
If China wants Taiwan, now is the time to take it. Americans have absolutely 0 appetite for war at the moment (certainly not if we aren't attacked directly), and the fighting force has a disdain for their leadership, whose arrogance and incompetence just saw 13 of their brothers killed in a single day.
- LurkingPenguin 5y agoAn amphibious invasion of Taiwan will require months of build-up (that would be visible on satellite) and there are only a few windows during the year in which it could take place because of conditions in the Taiwan Strait. Such an invasion would be a binary event. If China fails, it's game over for the CCP. Not the kind of risk they're known for taking. If anything, I think Afghanistan will only increase Beijing's belief that America's decline is accelerating and it will eventually be able to get what it wants without a head-on kinetic conflict with the US. I've always thought a more likely scenario would be for China to first take Kinmen, which is trivially easy. The US is not going to risk WW3 over Kinmen and it would only be a symbolic victory, but it would put the US and Taiwan leadership in a very tough place.
- scottLobster 5y agoTaiwan has semiconductors and is an actual ally against China. Afghanistan was a politically toxic occupation without a purpose. If China thinks America looks at Taiwan the same as Afghanistan they've got another thing coming. Granted strategic incompetence seems to be the flavor of the moment, so who knows?
- ceejayoz 5y ago> 13 of their brothers 11. Two servicewomen were killed.