That's a reasonable assessment. If military confrontations kick off, it's probably going to be at the tail end of a lot of buildup probably including diplomatic

That's a reasonable assessment. If military confrontations kick off, it's probably going to be at the tail end of a lot of buildup probably including diplomatic breakdown, major economic sanctions on both sides, etc. I would wager that before China invades they would've already cut the US off from any supplies that might help in a conflict, and vice versa, for example.