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This column perpetuates a misleading theme in the debate. The author implies that the U.S. will suffer terrible consequence in the event of a default. This is
by hapless 15y ago
This column perpetuates a misleading theme in the debate. The author implies that the U.S. will suffer terrible consequence in the event of a default. This is true, but completely irrelevant: Under no circumstances will the U.S. actually default.
As long as federal revenues are greater than the costs of servicing our debt, we will continue to service it. The government is constitutionally obligated to do so. Rather than default, we will see catastrophic and immediate cuts in services. All of a sudden, the government's monthly outlays will have to fit into monthly revenues. This is the goal of the House Republicans -- "starve the beast." They're comfortable with a failure in negotiations. For them, it's a heads-we-win, tails-you-lose situation.
In any case, while a failure to raise the debt ceiling will send a lot of people home hungry, those people will certainly not be the bondholders.
- gte910h 15y agoThe issue is credit ratings. The agencies which set them may view this as a selective default. I too doubt they'll miss a debt payment (our debt payments aren't hard at all, they were worse in the 90's), but I am fearful of the SS cutoff that might happen being considered as a Selective Default.