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While I do get your point and have my own doubts, I fail to see how this is a fair argument: > If Google can't do it with its massive resources The companies
by ElFitz 5y ago
While I do get your point and have my own doubts, I fail to see how this is a fair argument:
> If Google can't do it with its massive resources
The companies behind the SLS had and have an enormous amount of resources. Yet, they have failed to even launch it.
Arianespace has a huge amount of resources and experience too. Yet, when asked, they said landing a rocket couldn’t be done. Then, back-pedalling, that it was pointless and would never make any economic sense.
Yet, SpaceX has developed three generations of rockets (Falcon 1, 9 and heavy), builds them, launches them, iterates on them, lands them, reuses them, and is now working on a fourth rocket (SuperHeavy).
They have also created 4 different rocket engines and are working on two others.
Honestly, where are Boeing and Arianespace?
Another example? Microsoft, their incredible wealth of resources and superior position falling flat on their face with smartphones.
Funnily enough, Google getting the greatest share of the global smartphone OS market, despite having had no real experience with operating systems, consumer hardware, or licensing operating systems before.
Kodak, which had some of the first patent on digital camera sensors, going pretty much extinct despite their massive resources and market position.
Xerox, failing to ever enter the personal computer market despite designing what everyone else would copy for the next 10 or 20 years.
Sure, the amounts of resources and experience seem to help, a lot, but it also certainly doesn’t seem to help reliably predict any outcome.
- diegocg 5y agoThe problem with your comparison is that the company that is "the spacex of FSD" is Waymo. And even them can not get FSD right.
- dnautics 5y agoIsn't comma.ai the SpaceX of fsd?
- deleted 5y ago[deleted]
- magicalist 5y ago> Isn't comma.ai the SpaceX of fsd? Astra, maybe? Difficult analogy because the barrier to entry's a lot lower for car mods vs orbital rocketry kits :)
- ElFitz 5y agoWho would be Boeing then? Because almost no company has much more serious experience with self-driving cars, let alone FSD.
- ctvo 5y ago> Yet, SpaceX has developed three generations of rockets (Falcon 1, 9 and heavy), builds them, launches them, iterates on them, lands them, reuses them, and is now working on a fourth rocket (SuperHeavy). What does SpaceX have to do with Tesla? They're owned by a billionaire with his attention split, but otherwise are structured differently, are in different industries, and most likely have different cultures. The cult of worshipping a single person has got to stop.
- ElFitz 5y agoYou will notice that I expand my point way beyond SpaceX, and even start by stating > While I do get your point and have my own doubts […]
- Infinitesimus 5y agoThe parent's point is less about Elon and more about the fact fact all the resources in the world means nothing if you do not have the right team, culture and incentives to pull it off.