> You would have needed to predict the pandemic That was not difficult to do, even in Late December. Most discussions were taking it really casually, and belie

> You would have needed to predict the pandemic That was not difficult to do, even in Late December. Most discussions were taking it really casually, and believed that none of that would happen, which is exactly why it happened and how I predicted it. People are be filled with unfounded optimism, overestimate their skills, and underestimate their bad lack. Combining the three with the belief that most humans are incapable of understanding exponential and autoregressive processes, it became clear. But all of this is anecdotal evidence and could very well be an instance of a bear predicting a depression, after all, bears predicted 10 out of the last 3 economic crises.