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It's not clear to me if this is predictive. E.g. HN has been right about AMD. Years ago when people were talking about AMD it was worth peanuts and look at it n
by gnulinux 5y ago
It's not clear to me if this is predictive. E.g. HN has been right about AMD. Years ago when people were talking about AMD it was worth peanuts and look at it now. I don't think it's a case of a group of people being right/wrong, it has more to do with since you're fed all the perspectives, you can find the right/wrong ones yourself and take action accordingly.
- modeless 5y agoYes, I'm not saying HN is wrong about everything. HN isn't opposed to my other examples of VR or deep learning (though there are certainly people who argue strenuously that deep learning is a dead end and GOFAI is the way forward). I'm just saying that when the consensus about something is wrong, that's an opportunity to get ahead of the curve. And reading HN is a great way to gather the information you need to decide whether the consensus is right or not. But you have to figure that out for yourself.
- bdcravens 5y agoHow do you measure what is wrong? In the example of Bitcoin, if the measurement is price, I think that's a misunderstanding of what people are criticizing.
- modeless 5y agoThe criticisms have changed over time. But I'm pretty sure the early criticisms were mostly wrong, and I'm certain that the people who criticized it early missed big opportunities, even if Bitcoin itself ultimately fails (which is of course still a possibility).