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> * But, of course, many deaths were undercounted; especially those who died before seeking medical care, or before testing was widely available. Yeah, so I we
by nathas 5y ago
> * But, of course, many deaths were undercounted; especially those who died before seeking medical care, or before testing was widely available.
Yeah, so I went with the stats we did have data for. I didn't speculate since I'm not omniscient and that's ignorant at best, disingenuous at worst. Both COVID cases and deaths are under-reported.
> Drunk driving is far, far, far more common than the arrest rates would suggest. Like, its actually insane how common drunk driving is. Cops are not gods. They do not catch everyone. One million people were arrested in 2016 for drunk driving; its likely that 50 million+ people drove above the legal limit in that same year, multiple times each.
The link I gave called out that 111M people self-reported drunk driving. That's an unreliable stat, so I went with the arrest rate which is a known quantity.
I wasn't "convinced" of anything. I chose the closest stats that we can get, which are definitely NOT perfect. What real-world data is "perfect"? Only when systems are self-reporting is data even close (e.g. latency, HTTP status counts, etc) and even those can be wrong due to log loss, servers failing, networks failing, etc.
You work with the data you have, and try to make informed decisions, instead of wildly guessing.