4 ms·
The key takeaway I had from Scott's post was this stat: >It takes people ~50 months of strict lockdown to save one month of someone's healthy life. Or another
by kenneth 5y ago
The key takeaway I had from Scott's post was this stat:
>It takes people ~50 months of strict lockdown to save one month of someone's healthy life.
Or another way to look at it, it takes 50 people locking down for a month to save each one month of life expectancy for one person. 600 people locking down to save a single person's life expectancy by one year. 6000 people for 10 years of life expectancy for a single person.
Whether that's worth the misery is up to the reader. I have my own opinion here, but it's undeniably subjective. It's a trade-off.
- mistermann 5y agoAnother way of looking at it: those telling us that we must lockdown seem to not even try to think about it from any perspective other than simply saving lives, regardless of consequences. Every year my confidence and trust in politicians and any expert with a role in setting policies gets lower.
- choward 5y agoSee Goodhart's law. > When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goodhart's_law https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goodhart's_law