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This comment is trotted out every time someone launches something that seems pointless. And yet, 90% of the time the doubters turn out to be right.

edmundsauto 5y ago
Right, but it’s a bit like saying that on average, across all the football leagues, a teams record will be .500. It’s true without adding value.
- Grustaf 5y ago
  Saying that people doubted online shopping also doesn’t add any value. Just because they doubted that and they doubt VR meetings doesn’t mean VR meetings will be a hit.
  - edmundsauto 5y ago
    100%, not sure why you're being downvoted. Humans are really skilled at making fast comparisons between things. Unfortunately, that means we tend to make superficial comparisons. We then over-generalize while ignoring most evidence we don't like.
notacoward 5y ago
Most startups fail. Does that mean relentlessly dumping on founders and their ideas is appropriate? Same thing here. Try to at least consider the potential, even if it seems unlikely to be realized.
- Grustaf 5y ago
  It means that companies will not succeed just because people also doubted Amazon.
baby 5y ago
This comment is trotted out every time someone launches something that will be a game changer.
- Grustaf 5y ago
  VR has been around since the 90s, I don’t think it’s entirely obvious that it will be such a smash hit this time.
  - baby 5y ago
    I don’t understand this argument. I was there in the 90s and I tried it and it was shit and I got one of the worst headache I ever got. I had the first Go and Quest and holy shit how can anyone compare that to 90s VR?
    - Grustaf 5y ago
      I tried it 5 years ago and it wasn't much different from the 90s. I mean i thought it was super cool already in the 90s and would love for it to take off, but my point is that if you haven't found a killer app for a technology in 30 years then it's not obvious that it will ever come.
      - bart_spoon 5y ago
        It seems to me like the problem with VR isn't the lack of a killer app, its the lack of hardware enabling that app. Especially with the rise of remote work, I think this type of VR collaboration is the killer app. No one has successfully made it work yet though.
        Grustaf 5y ago
        There’s lots of hardware, and it’s gotten very cheap. Much cheaper than early home computers. That’s not the problem. For some reason people don’t find it that compelling.
      - 5y ago

edmundsauto 5y ago

Right, but it’s a bit like saying that on average, across all the football leagues, a teams record will be .500. It’s true without adding value.

Grustaf 5y ago
Saying that people doubted online shopping also doesn’t add any value. Just because they doubted that and they doubt VR meetings doesn’t mean VR meetings will be a hit.
- edmundsauto 5y ago
  100%, not sure why you're being downvoted. Humans are really skilled at making fast comparisons between things. Unfortunately, that means we tend to make superficial comparisons. We then over-generalize while ignoring most evidence we don't like.

notacoward 5y ago

Most startups fail. Does that mean relentlessly dumping on founders and their ideas is appropriate? Same thing here. Try to at least consider the potential, even if it seems unlikely to be realized.

Grustaf 5y ago
It means that companies will not succeed just because people also doubted Amazon.

baby 5y ago

This comment is trotted out every time someone launches something that will be a game changer.

Grustaf 5y ago
VR has been around since the 90s, I don’t think it’s entirely obvious that it will be such a smash hit this time.
- baby 5y ago
  I don’t understand this argument. I was there in the 90s and I tried it and it was shit and I got one of the worst headache I ever got. I had the first Go and Quest and holy shit how can anyone compare that to 90s VR?
  - Grustaf 5y ago
    I tried it 5 years ago and it wasn't much different from the 90s. I mean i thought it was super cool already in the 90s and would love for it to take off, but my point is that if you haven't found a killer app for a technology in 30 years then it's not obvious that it will ever come.
    - bart_spoon 5y ago
      It seems to me like the problem with VR isn't the lack of a killer app, its the lack of hardware enabling that app. Especially with the rise of remote work, I think this type of VR collaboration is the killer app. No one has successfully made it work yet though.
      - Grustaf 5y ago
        There’s lots of hardware, and it’s gotten very cheap. Much cheaper than early home computers. That’s not the problem. For some reason people don’t find it that compelling.
    - 5y ago