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A whole bunch of data and graphs and other neat stuff on hurricanes: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/climo/ http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/climo/ The part I found most intere
by thaumaturgy 15y ago
A whole bunch of data and graphs and other neat stuff on hurricanes: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/climo/ http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/climo/
The part I found most interesting was the points-of-origin graph, and how closely that correlates with the Tropic of Cancer. But, there's also a historical graph there for your edification.
Tornadoes: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/severeweather/tornadoes.html http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/severeweather/tornadoes....
The historical graph here does not appear to show any upward trend 1950 to present for frequency of EF3-EF5 tornadoes; if anything, they may be becoming slightly less common.
As for droughts, I will link to a report from NIPCC, who are -- to say the least -- climate change skeptics: http://www.nipccreport.org/articles/2011/jul/27jul2011a2.html http://www.nipccreport.org/articles/2011/jul/27jul2011a2.htm...
In their report, they found no long term trend for drought conditions. I can find nothing that casts doubt on their research.
If I were serious about figuring out whether the cost figures for natural disasters were attributable primarily to increased costs or primarily to increased severity of natural disasters, I'd use earthquakes as a comparison -- if it's an increase-of-cost issue, then I'd expect to see the same increase-of-cost for historical earthquakes. If the increase-of-cost for earthquakes is substantially less than of the natural disasters in this report, then I'd be inclined to attribute it to a greater frequency and severity of natural disasters.
- hugh3 15y ago* If I were serious about figuring out whether the cost figures for natural disasters were attributable primarily to increased costs or primarily to increased severity of natural disasters, I'd use earthquakes as a comparison -- if it's an increase-of-cost issue, then I'd expect to see the same increase-of-cost for historical earthquakes. If the increase-of-cost for earthquakes is substantially less than of the natural disasters in this report, then I'd be inclined to attribute it to a greater frequency and severity of natural disasters.* On the other hand, we've got a lot better at building earthquake-resistant structures. Also, the number of earthquakes causing any significant damage in the United States over the past two hundred years is small enough to be statistically iffy.