7 ms·

Covid has a below 1% case fatality rate. It is not going to ‘kill several million Americans’.

• dragonwriter 5y ago
  > Covid has a below 1% case fatality rate. The US has 622K fatalities on 37M cases, which is a 1.68% CFR (and is an undercount, because some current cases that will be fatalities aren't yet.) Of course, CFR isn't a constant, it varies with current healthcare overload and the lethality of different strains, among other factors.
  • tinus_hn 5y ago
    I love how now the fatalities are an undercount and the number of cases is a certainty so it fits this shoehorned argument. In reality the fatalities are ‘people who died within a certain period after being tested positive’ and an enormous amount of cases without any symptoms go undetected.
    • dragonwriter 5y ago
      > I love how now the fatalities are an undercount and the number of cases is a certainty so it fits this shoehorned argument. Cases are a certainty basically by definition (now, if you want to do the usual thing and argue that we should look at IFR and not CFR, that’s a different story, but I’m not the one who introduced a false claim about CFR.) > an enormous amount of cases without any symptoms go undetected. By definition, if an infection goes undetected, its not a case.
• jollybean 5y ago
  Of course not that's my point - 'if' millions of Americans die, it's not really comforting to say 'oh we'll make it through'. Of course we'll make it through, that's not the issue.