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There are many reasons why the mistakes happened again and again and can not be fixed. Mainly human cognition defects that confuse beliefs driven by spiritual s
by jjcc 5y ago
There are many reasons why the mistakes happened again and again and can not be fixed. Mainly human cognition defects that confuse beliefs driven by spiritual satisfaction with solid facts. The deep root cause can not be addressed so they will make the same mistake again.
If somebody want give some advice that can prevent the next 2-trillion dollar mistake here in HN what will happen? The advice will be down voted heavily and maybe it will been seen as a bot from repressive regime. So most of people know the ground truth but also understand this collective bias choose keep silent.
In machine learning the trainer want to select the data from different sources to avoid over fitting. In real world there's no role acting as a god to feed different types of data. The human brain train their own neural networks. The consequence is people select the data that reinforce their existing belief because of impact from million of years evolution, even ignore the facts that can not add up. (Does any body suspect something wrong with all our perception due Taliban take control of power so quickly, I ask HNers think about it for intellectual challenge, not about or beyond politics )
- saiya-jin 5y agoI have a fine, really simple advice - don't start wars. I don't know where some US citizens take the idea that half of the world is longing to get invaded and westernized, it is simply not the case. If some politician tells you so, he/she is lying and you should seriously questions their motivation (like Bush' administration after 9/11 and its ties to companies who got many of the army orders). The idea that politicians are up there for the good of mankind if laughable at best, and dangerously naive at worst, regardless of country. Don't start wars half around the world for made up / weak reasons with a country that is not anyhow threatening you, the amount of evil that is 'inserted' into mankind doesn't dissipate but all of us have to deal with it for generations to come. On top of all the destruction and death/murders/rape/torture/etc. This is valid for any country, I may be bashing chinese in 10 years (and would be bashing colonizing west european states 100+ years ago), but for now its clear on whom this is aimed. I can't imagine how all the patriotic US veterans must feel now - all the things they went through and lost friends, physical and mental health meant much less than nothing. Nothing would mean there wasn't 20 years of war and death, that would be a damn fine thing compared to current situation. Oh and one final one, that one is also easy - don't start war in Afghanistan. Graveyard of empires they called it.
- Denvercoder9 5y ago> with a country that is not anyhow threatening you Afghanistan did harbor Al-Qaeda, which executed an attack on US soil.
- saiya-jin 5y agoSure and most of those folks came from Saudi Arabia. But anyway Al-Qaeda was out pretty quickly, yet US stayed with half-hearted effort to conquer and do changes.