4 ms·

IATA but it's mildly exiting to see one of my decadal hn predictions inch closer to coming true, a year and a half in: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=219

IATA but it's mildly exiting to see one of my decadal hn predictions inch closer to coming true, a year and a half in: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21943167 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21943167

truth_hurts_0x1 5y ago
It's interesting to think how astronauts had little qualms about hopping in space craft designed in the 1960s on drafting tables. Yet with the insane leaps in engineering we've made since then, it almost feels like it be hard to replicate the same leaps in space travel that we saw from the 1950s to 1980s.
mkl 5y ago
> Aside from one time when I correctly predicted my coworker's house would be under a volcano in 15 years I'm amazed no one in that thread asked you for details about this. What happened?
- dnautics 5y ago
  2003, was working in a science lab, lab tech came in and said he (or maybe it was his brother) had just bought a house, really cheap, in hawaii. He said it was in lanikai estates. Family is from hawaii and I'm a bit of a geography geek, so I hopped onto mapquest to see where it was... Noticed it was due east of pu'u o'o, and I know the volcano is moving east, so I told him, look you have 10-15 years to sell that house before it winds up under a volcano. Fast forward 15 years and volcano! The volcano just snuck in under my time window, haha. To be fair, I do not know for sure if HIS house went under; there are houses in the neighborhood that were spared. I didn't bother to ask because when I stalked him it said he was an employee of Theranos, and I decided it was probably not a good idea to poke a hornet's nest. Speaking of Theranos, back when I was in my 2nd postdoc (2013) we were talking about how theranos was a fraud and it was going to come crumbling down, Some other crazy short term things I predicted: Sarah Palin VP candidate, Feb 2008, Simone Giertz becoming famous (ca winter 2015). I also predicted the failure of the first starliner launch (documented here in HN). I also have managed to pick some ascendant "obscure" PLs just before hockey sticking. Used Julia professionally in 2015 (proof of use in 2017: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aP0Y1uAA-2Y&t=53m https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aP0Y1uAA-2Y&t=53m), used Elixir in 2017, been using Zig since 2019. And I haven't really used any other non-mainstream PLs, so I have a pretty good hit record I think. And a couple of obscure cryptos that I don't want to talk too much about.

truth_hurts_0x1 5y ago

It's interesting to think how astronauts had little qualms about hopping in space craft designed in the 1960s on drafting tables. Yet with the insane leaps in engineering we've made since then, it almost feels like it be hard to replicate the same leaps in space travel that we saw from the 1950s to 1980s.

mkl 5y ago

> Aside from one time when I correctly predicted my coworker's house would be under a volcano in 15 years I'm amazed no one in that thread asked you for details about this. What happened?

dnautics 5y ago
2003, was working in a science lab, lab tech came in and said he (or maybe it was his brother) had just bought a house, really cheap, in hawaii. He said it was in lanikai estates. Family is from hawaii and I'm a bit of a geography geek, so I hopped onto mapquest to see where it was... Noticed it was due east of pu'u o'o, and I know the volcano is moving east, so I told him, look you have 10-15 years to sell that house before it winds up under a volcano. Fast forward 15 years and volcano! The volcano just snuck in under my time window, haha. To be fair, I do not know for sure if HIS house went under; there are houses in the neighborhood that were spared. I didn't bother to ask because when I stalked him it said he was an employee of Theranos, and I decided it was probably not a good idea to poke a hornet's nest. Speaking of Theranos, back when I was in my 2nd postdoc (2013) we were talking about how theranos was a fraud and it was going to come crumbling down, Some other crazy short term things I predicted: Sarah Palin VP candidate, Feb 2008, Simone Giertz becoming famous (ca winter 2015). I also predicted the failure of the first starliner launch (documented here in HN). I also have managed to pick some ascendant "obscure" PLs just before hockey sticking. Used Julia professionally in 2015 (proof of use in 2017: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aP0Y1uAA-2Y&t=53m https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aP0Y1uAA-2Y&t=53m), used Elixir in 2017, been using Zig since 2019. And I haven't really used any other non-mainstream PLs, so I have a pretty good hit record I think. And a couple of obscure cryptos that I don't want to talk too much about.