Fun thought experiment: If we could assume with absolute certainty that we would find out the inception of COVID-19 by Jan1 2023, and Vegas was allowing people

Fun thought experiment: If we could assume with absolute certainty that we would find out the inception of COVID-19 by Jan1 2023, and Vegas was allowing people to wager money on “somehow came from a lab in Wuhan”, I wonder what the odds would be compared to “came from a wet market”, or other competing theories. Money has a funny way of making people weigh and consider the outcome of an event.