This is insightful, but how was that convincing either? To me, it was more obvious that hard viral mitigations would last for 18 months (until 2022) before ther

This is insightful, but how was that convincing either? To me, it was more obvious that hard viral mitigations would last for 18 months (until 2022) before there were options available for people (such as an option for vaccines), and I was surprised by the speed of viral sequencing and then emergency authorizations. That was new technology and was impressive, for the people interested in vaccines the option was available. I don't see how flatten the curve was convincing, in March 2020 or in hindsight. That's separate from the comical moving goalposts of various Governors and counties.