4 ms·
This isn’t true. With a large enough sample size almost all long-term effects become short-term. Very few long-term diseases are long-term because of a determi
by dcolkitt 5y ago
This isn’t true. With a large enough sample size almost all long-term effects become short-term.
Very few long-term diseases are long-term because of a deterministic countdown. Rather, they’re the result of a small but long-lived cumulative probability. The cancer that takes twenty years to show up is caused by the persistent 0.17% chance of a malignant tumor every month.
But the upshot is that if you start with a sample size of 100,000 people, the cancer risk will be glaringly obvious in the first month.
- Overton-Window 5y agoThis is why we immediately knew Asbestos was cancerous... oh wait.
- dboreham 5y agoa) we didn't know that because people smoked and had coal fires in their houses so everyone had cancer, and b) we did know but BigCo conspired with government to cover up and deny.
- effie 5y agoNo, long term means 5,10 years and it cannot become short term because it takes 5 years (from the start of vaccination) to observe effects in people vaccinated for 5 years and it takes 10 years to observe effects in people vaccinated for 10 years.