> Unless by “soon” you mean 15 years; I don’t want to bet on anything on that timescale Well, I'm old so by "soon" I mean within my lifetime, e.g. the next 3 t

> Unless by “soon” you mean 15 years; I don’t want to bet on anything on that timescale Well, I'm old so by "soon" I mean within my lifetime, e.g. the next 3 to 4 decades. edit: to clarify a little, when the term AI was first coined by McCarthy in 1956, researchers were confident in cracking AGI within a decade. Then AI-Winter came and people became more cautious. So when I say "soon", I mean it's probably not going to be another 65 years, but also not 5 months or 5 years (unexpected breakthroughs aside).