10 ms·
How can you prove the mitigations worked? The only controls out there (Sweden, some US states, etc.) aren’t very robust (nor in favor of mitigation efforts).
by rajin444 5y ago
How can you prove the mitigations worked? The only controls out there (Sweden, some US states, etc.) aren’t very robust (nor in favor of mitigation efforts).
- nielsbot 5y agoAll you have to do is look at a deaths/infections curve before and after mitigations.
- rajin444 5y agoYes, but you need a control to compare it against. How do you get one?
- nielsbot 5y agoJust look at the trend line? You might also want to look at the excess statistically significant deaths numbers. https://www.ft.com/content/6bd88b7d-3386-4543-b2e9-0d5c6fac846c https://www.ft.com/content/6bd88b7d-3386-4543-b2e9-0d5c6fac8...
- natural219 5y agoit's been looked at several times, and a vast majority of the convincing evidence seems to fall in favor of the camp that overall mitigations do nearly nothing compared to control samples of places with no/fewer restrictions https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/05/18/coronalinks-5-18-20-when-all-you-have-is-a-hammer-everything-starts-looking-like-a-dance/ https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/05/18/coronalinks-5-18-20-wh...
- kenjackson 5y agoThat article is more than a year old. A far newer, more complete assessment shows that mitigations do you have an impact in reducing deaths and infections: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.07.28.21261286v1.full https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.07.28.21261286v...
- djrogers 5y agoThere are 50 states in the US, all of which had different responses and mitigations in place last year. There is no compelling evidence that they made much difference, let alone a 5x one.