Your narrative would involve such a plan spanning both Trump and Biden administrations, which seems unlikely. I’m in Europe and have also seen a lot of stories

Your narrative would involve such a plan spanning both Trump and Biden administrations, which seems unlikely. I’m in Europe and have also seen a lot of stories out of Belarus. I doubt the governments here were all in on the plan. I have no idea how any US action in Belarus would remind the EU of anything? Belarus isn’t in the EU, nor does the regime enjoy any support. A map of Russian pipelines is rather devastating for your case, showing the exact opposite of what you assumed, i. e. that Belarus is a major transit country for oil and gas: https://www.researchgate.net/figure/Crude-oil-and-natural-gas-supply-to-Europe-from-international-routes-Reference_fig2_275999420 https://www.researchgate.net/figure/Crude-oil-and-natural-ga...