3 ms·
Do you have any problems with the substance of the article?
by friendly_deer 5y ago
Do you have any problems with the substance of the article?
- gus_massa 5y agoI do. Look at the table A1 in the appendix. They separate the countries in two groups: Mass vaccination countries: Israel, United Kingdom, Hungary Moderate vaccination countries: All the other in Europe, or something like that. To simplify, let's make a new column with the average of the excess of deaths, and sort them. The biggest ones are: Hungary: 39.3% Slovakia: 26.7% Poland: 26.3% Czechia: 25.0% Bulgaria: 20.3% Cyprus: 12.3% Austria: 10.3% United Kingdom: 10.0% Israel: 8.3% Other: 8.0% or less Average: 4.8% So clearly Hungary is a huge outlier. Back to the three mass vaccinated countries: If you compare Israel to the moderate vaccinated countries, the different is not statistically significant. If you compare United Kingdom to the moderate vaccinated countries, the different is not statistically significant. If you compare Hungary the moderate vaccinated countries, the different IS statistically significant. Moreover, it's much bigger. The correct conclusion is that something extraordinary bad happened in Hungary, not that something extraordinary bad happened in the mass vaccinated countries.