This poll covers a group of the "100 Top authors in academic AI research according to Microsoft Academic search" and shows a mean "50% confidence that High leve

This poll covers a group of the "100 Top authors in academic AI research according to Microsoft Academic search" and shows a mean "50% confidence that High level machine intelligence will exist" date of 2074. Clearly at least some AI researchers think it's a remote possibility this century. https://nickbostrom.com/papers/survey.pdf https://nickbostrom.com/papers/survey.pdf At 50:11 of this video (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fDR1I2Shw_E&t=0s https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fDR1I2Shw_E&t=0s) Geoffrey Hinton estimates that super human AI is possible within 100 years.