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Eh? According to this article by Nate Silver, Trafalgar did reasonably well in 2020: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-death-of-polling-is-greatly-exagge

by jcadam 5y ago

Eh? According to this article by Nate Silver, Trafalgar did reasonably well in 2020: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-death-of-polling-is-greatly-exaggerated/ https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-death-of-polling-is... Especially considering polling in 2020 was way off across the board.

reducesuffering 5y ago
My mistake, thanks for the calibration. Trafalgar leaned the most towards Trump winning in 2020 so I naively assumed they were off the farthest, but clearly polling in a US election is more complicated than that.