That's not answering though about capacity. UK's went up 8x, but they were nowhere close to hitting capacity. NYC's hospitalizations dipped to ~18 admitted/da

That's not answering though about capacity. UK's went up 8x, but they were nowhere close to hitting capacity. NYC's hospitalizations dipped to ~18 admitted/day citywide in June and are up to ~50 now. But that's a long way from 350 over winter and far away from hitting 1700 in the initial surge. The UK government realized that even with their high case spike (to winter level) that vaccination ensured that hospitalizations would not come close, so they ended restrictions at what in retrospect was their peak cases. Their admission rate hit maybe a quarter of their winter rate even though case rate peak was similar. (vaccine cut hospitalization rate per case by 75%). To my point, unless we're substantially different from the UK, it doesn't look like hospitalization capacity should be a concern with this wave.