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The result will be 3) everyone will be infected with a vastly more contagious, possibly more deadly variant that is resistant to vaccine. Your scenario isn't an
by stefan_ 5y ago
The result will be 3) everyone will be infected with a vastly more contagious, possibly more deadly variant that is resistant to vaccine. Your scenario isn't an option. It's not "over" because it has run its course in a single wave.
- esyir 5y agoLooking at the history of disease, that's pretty unlikely. Traditionally, the optimal virus is going to get more contagious, but far less deadly; a disease that kills its host rapidly generally burns itself out. Now, the consequences of getting to that more optimal virus I'm a lot more hazy about.
- vkou 5y ago> Traditionally, the optimal virus is going to get more contagious, but far less deadly; a disease that kills its host rapidly generally burns itself out The Spanish flu mutated into a more deadly variant, half-way through that pandemic. It went on to kill more people than World War I.
- tehjoker 5y agoDeadliness is only selected against once it impedes transmission. A virus that kills after transmitting (because you spread it while asymptomaticly) will only burn out once a ton of people die inhibiting transmission.