I think esr lost a lot of credibility with his claim that the iPhone was facing imminent collapse, followed by Apple's record quarter. He seems more interested

I think esr lost a lot of credibility with his claim that the iPhone was facing imminent collapse, followed by Apple's record quarter. He seems more interested in finding any evidence whatsoever for the proposition that Android will dominate the market, than in doing thoughtful analysis. The post you linked is a case in point. He's also cherry-picking his past predictions to highlight only the ones that turned out to be right.