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esr also keeps a close eye on the developments in the mobile phone market. His latest blog post on this is at http://esr.ibiblio.org/?p=3493 http://esr.ibiblio.
by Luyt 15y ago
esr also keeps a close eye on the developments in the mobile phone market. His latest blog post on this is at http://esr.ibiblio.org/?p=3493 http://esr.ibiblio.org/?p=3493 , a short quote:
"Nokia’s strategy, insofar as it’s actually had one since the tie-up with Microsoft, has been to hang in there on volume sales of dumbphones until it could deliver world-beating WP7 handsets. The major risk here, other than the wild unlikelihood of WP7 ever becoming anything consumers actually want, was that the Chinese electronics industry would undercut them on price-performance. I predicted this would happen, it is happening, and Nokia’s disastrous July earnings call is the result."
- othermaciej 15y agoI think esr lost a lot of credibility with his claim that the iPhone was facing imminent collapse, followed by Apple's record quarter. He seems more interested in finding any evidence whatsoever for the proposition that Android will dominate the market, than in doing thoughtful analysis. The post you linked is a case in point. He's also cherry-picking his past predictions to highlight only the ones that turned out to be right.
- sedev 15y agoWhile "keeps a close eye on" is certainly an accurate description of what he does, "makes accurate and/or well-founded predictions" is not, and that's more important. Someone who wanted to be well-informed about mobile would do far better by reading Horace Dediu, for example.