3 ms·
> If you meant, "Why can't we precisely predict the motions of a vast rock floating in space years into the future" then I don't know what to tell you. We're no
by remexre 5y ago
> If you meant, "Why can't we precisely predict the motions of a vast rock floating in space years into the future" then I don't know what to tell you. We're not God?
IMO this feels like the more interesting one to explore: are leap seconds wholly from things that are within measurement error in existing rotation, or is the Earth's rotational rate actually changing? If we had leap minutes as the smallest increment, could we predict them out centuries in advance? etc
- jhayward 5y agoNo, they are not measurement error. The moment of inertia of the earth changes over time in irregular ways (e.g, melting glaciers, etc). Even a major earthquake can show up in the earth’s rotation. Leap seconds account for the accumulated difference in the rotational period from time to time.