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Counterpoint: What do you think "fashion" is? I used to think there were some very cool, fashion-adept people, who have the ability to predict what will conside
by captainmuon 5y ago
Counterpoint: What do you think "fashion" is? I used to think there were some very cool, fashion-adept people, who have the ability to predict what will considered modern next year.
The reality is, the clothing industry decides what to produce at least 6-12 months in advance. It's not like they produce everything and public opinion decides in the end what is "cool". Granted, the industry tries to predict what will be in demand. But by and large, fashion is not predicting what will be cool, but specifing what will be produced.
When they say "blue will be in fashion next year", then it means you'll be able to buy a lot of blue clothes (and some people will be able to deduce that you have not recently bought clothes, which is a bonus to encourage more buying).
I only realized this a I got older, when certain items were missing in every shop, that were there the previous and following years. Be it a certain cut of jeans or a certain colored shirt. (And it's not just clothes, I noticed it in interior design, PC cases, salad sauces, and just about any product category.)
- sjg007 5y agoYes and no. People can pick out vintage and older stuff and mix it up. Also you should look up Zara and fast fashion.
- blablabla123 5y agoMore subtly a smaller but far more interested proportion of the population tries more experimental things and the big shops just copy that. That's both cheaper for the buyer and the producer. It's the same for tech, various gadgets or technologies that are hyped right now have been gathering traction since years but have been picked up by the big brands only very recently. Best example is the trend of using non-x86 Computers, a few desktop/laptop projects have been there including Chrome books. Now Apple picked it up and it's a completely normal thing to buy an ARM laptop. Looks kind of planned but it's not. It's just that some things fall out of fashion for whatever reasons...
- coldtea 5y ago>Looks kind of planned but it's not. It's just that some things fall out of fashion for whatever reasons... "Not planned? Whatever reason?" There are huge billion dollar campaigns for what things "are in fashion" this season. For starters, the thousands of ads by fashion brands with the same "current fashion" messaging. Without that, the majority of the population could not care less what some "small proportion" of idiots consider "experimental/cool/etc". Sub-culture fashion would stay with the subculture (like most of it does, unless it's picked up by the mass fashion industry and promoted to hell). It's the endless branding, messaging, adverting, PR, articles, etc, that get Joe/Jane Average buying into this season's fasion.
- chrisco255 5y agoThe people chasing "this season's fashion" are rather niche. People care less and less about this stuff as they get older. We also work in an industry where free conference t-shirts and khaki shorts are perfectly acceptable work attire. It's been over 100 years since blue jeans were invented and they're still quite popular. And if some people get enjoyment out of trying out new fashion styles, who am I to judge? No different than me buying the latest video game or checking out the newest programming language or listening to new releases of music.
- coldtea 5y ago>The people chasing "this season's fashion" are rather niche. The people who consciously chace "this season's fashion" are niche [1]. But even more so, people who are bombarded with messages to buy new clothes, and that this style is now obsolete, get this instead, are pretty much everybody though. [1] Though not that small of a niche: a big percentage of women do it quite a lot (as evident by the success of that side of the fashion industry and peripheral industries like accessories, perfumes, cosmetics, and such), and men have increasingly being doing it ever since the 80s too, especially if we include things like sneakers and so on). As someone wrote, it's not like 250 million Americans, men and women, each individually by themselves, decided bell-bottoms are a good idea some year in the 70s...
- 5y ago
- Rerarom 5y agoBut who produces that experimental clothing in the first place?
- quesera 5y agoIt's really not that simple. Fashion is an industry where hundreds of individual designers, some with the backing of megacorps and some without, try to meet popular interest (or to lead it), with production times measured in weeks to months, and with seasonal variation. There is no "fashion cabal" where designers get together for drinks and to anoint "cerulean blue" as the color of 2023 and then pull their customers by the nose ring into purchasing. (Yes, there is a media-favorite color survey that gets printed every year, and there are some downstream effects of that). The music industry works similarly. Bands toil for years (or months), doing their thing, and A&R reps from major labels try to predict what they can promote that will be popular enough this year (based on the choices of other promoters in the industry), or next year, to sell in the near term, and yet differentiated enough to have lasting value. The snack food industry works similarly. The software industry works similarly. The political industry works similarly.
- naravara 5y agoI’d say this is a more nuanced and sophisticated explanation of the same dynamic the person you’re responding to is getting at. Yes there is no “cabal” as in a smoke-filled room where shadowy figures make the decision. But, in practice, the net effect is that of a large genetic algorithm settling on an approved trend that it then uses its market power to push people towards. And, of course, the more the industry is consolidated the more “directed” it will seem.
- bulletsvshumans 5y ago> There is no "fashion cabal" where designers get together for drinks and to anoint "cerulean blue" as the color of 2023 and then pull their customers by the nose ring into purchasing. "Twice a year Pantone hosts, in a European capital, a secret meeting of representatives from various nations' color standards groups. After two days of presentations and debate, they choose a color for the following year." "OVER 20 YEARS OF INFLUENCING PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT AND PURCHASING DECISIONS" https://www.pantone.com/color-of-the-year-archive https://www.pantone.com/color-of-the-year-archive
- awillen 5y ago
- deltron3030 5y ago>The reality is, the clothing industry decides what to produce at least 6-12 months in advance. It's more the mainstream you're referring to, late adopters basically. of course they can produce in advance as the styles are already validated on urban streets and within subcultures who really set the trends. There are inventors, early adopters and late adopters, quite similar to SaaS.
- coldtea 5y agoThat's the party line, but it's just some sub-cultures, teens and troubled personalities that "express themselves" through fashion (the most shallow thing you can do, a juvenile thing in any case), the "early adopters", and then a huge industry copying them at various levels and with various delays. On top of that, there are also top-level mandates "this year let's push yellow strayjackets" or whatever. This results in a huge industry, selling junk people don't need, which are enviromentally harmful, with the ludicrous insistence that the clothes you bought last season are not good anymore because "fashion".
- jjcxfjmb 5y agoI don't think you can make such a pretentious comment about how juvenile it is to follow fashion without posting a selfie of yourself in your fedora
- deltron3030 5y agoFashion is basically part of a real world interface for the social groups you interact with, a way to tweak the first impression. It's only junk for you as an outsider not understanding the social groups of insiders dressing a certain way. It's valuable and sells because social ladders are everywhere, we're all apes to a degree. It's not a suprise that the epic centers are urban melting pots with a higher population density and more "troubled people".
- savingsPossible 5y agoMaybe both? There are social ladders, and there are people using social ladders to sell clothes they started working on last year?
- erwinh 5y agoImo the real fashion trendsetters don’t think about it in terms of what might become trending to surf it like q wave but are focussed on ideas&concepts which are relevant for society in that year/age.
- WalterBright 5y agoI've been wearing the exact same jeans cut for 30 years now. When they get holes, I just push a button on Amazon for more. My dress shirts are 20-30 years old. They're not out of style. Of course, I've never been cool, so there's that.
- stjohnswarts 5y agoI'm kind of in the same boat. I never cared about fashion much. It always seemed hollow and vapid to me. Even as a kid/teen-ager/20s when it's supposed to matter the most.
- TeMPOraL 5y agoPerhaps your circle of friends didn't care either. For kids/teenagers/early-20s, what matters is belonging - observable patterns of behavior that follow are whatever gets amplified when everyone looks at everyone else in their vicinity for signals of approval. FWIW, I also didn't care about fashion, and neither did my friends. I expect this to be the case with quite a lot of HNers - this comes from being a nerd and having nerd friends. We amplified each other on different patterns of behavior.
- throwawayboise 5y ago> My dress shirts are 20-30 years old. They're not out of style. They are, you just don't care. Which is OK.
- handrous 5y agoEh, you can pick plain white or blue button-up shirts with one of a few normal collar types and you won't be trendy but you also won't be "out of style". There are also some approaches to fashion the point of which is (at least in part) that they change only very slowly ("prep", for instance, which is practically defined by that quality—certain very casual styles like country/cowboy might also qualify, they have trends but you can definitely avoid them and achieve a look that's as close to timeless as it gets, on human-lifespan timescales). Suits are slowly evolving fewer buttons but you're probably still OK with a 3-button in most contexts, and a 2 or 3-roll-2 is probably future-safe for 15 years at least. Suits may well be almost gone by the time they're out of fashion, really, and will only remain in contexts that don't really evolve (the 3-button is firmly OK in a legal, funeral, or wedding context, for instance, and likely to remain so pretty much indefinitely, provided, in the latter case, it's not an extremely formal wedding and/or you're not in the wedding party itself)
- Bayart 5y ago>The reality is, the clothing industry decides what to produce at least 6-12 months in advance. That's fast fashion. It's neither elegant not particularly valued by people who are into fashion.
- cehrlich 5y agoNo, it's the companies who show at PFW and places like that which need 6-12 months. Zara can do it in 14 days.
- CPLX 5y agoThis isn’t an accurate take. Fashion trends are created in the same way art, architecture, and music trends are. By people who are talented and come to be influential. The fashion “industry” is the very last stop in the process. The trends are determined by the “cool kids” for the most part. If you don’t have exposure to the communities that actually drive trends it might feel the way you describe but if you live in a place like New York or pay attention to certain media the dynamic is obvious. If you’re basing your read on what you see in the local shop you’re fully a year or more behind the curve. Which is fine. You don’t have to care about it at all really. But the your description of the dynamic isn’t correct.
- flycaliguy 5y agoYeah, it’s a complex system like economics. It often has to do with things like immigration and cultural fusion in influential neighbourhoods. Musicians or break out visual artists chasing an career and bringing their style to London or NYC.
- whiddershins 5y agoEven an emergent intelligence is different from top down dictate.
- nitwit005 5y ago> The reality is, the clothing industry decides what to produce at least 6-12 months in advance. And they guess wrong all the time. If they could actually control things, they wouldn't have so much unsold inventory. They're making predictions based on heuristics, not magically controlling the masses.
- Retric 5y agoThere is surprisingly little unsold inventory, outlets are selling cheaper versions of clothes not unsold inventory. Of course not every design or brand succeeds, but the industry as a whole is reasonably efficient.
- crazygringo 5y ago> It's not like they produce everything and public opinion decides in the end what is "cool". To the contrary, public opinion does decide. Brands are trying to guess what will sell and be in fashion, and produce that. But they get it wrong all the time, as sales plummet for a particular season collection because consumers don't like it but really like another designer who guessed better. The fashion industry isn't monolithic. There isn't one person deciding what gets produced. Ultimately it is all consumer-led as brands compete to try to produce what people will buy -- and they know fashion-conscious people don't want to buy what was for sale the previous year. But individual brands get tastes wrong all the time -- even well-known brands have seasons where they just totally mess up.
- ABCLAW 5y agoI've gone through probably 300 slide decks from various industries that explicitly state that 'consumers in x demographic sector will need to be re-educated about the value of [something they didn't want]'. I've seen it in regards to premium breads, in-app purchases, crude oil solvent levels, public infrastructure features, clothing, etc. This isn't a new thing. Sometimes you just spend money to fabricate culture when it isn't on your side. >There isn't one person deciding what gets produced. Is this really an appropriate standard for examining whether or not an organization can push culture rather than merely adapt to it?
- crazygringo 5y agoWell sure every company is trying to convince customers their thing is best. That's just marketing. But different companies can be trying to convince things that are totally opposed to each other too. It's still not monolithic. (Regardless of whether it's "one person" or not, it was just an illustration.) At the end of the day it's still customers buying what they like from a range of companies that are all competing with each other, some succeeding and some failing.
- ABCLAW 5y agoNot really. All companies that make bags may be pulling consumers in different directions with respect to which style of bags they should purchase, but all will pull in the direction of "purchase bags". You can zoom out from bags to fashion, and the same idea repeats itself. Consumer consumption itself is the unified cultural zeitgeist. That's the issue - in some areas it'll spur innovation, but in others it is an obviously wasteful use of limited resources and time.
- Animats 5y agoWhen they say "blue will be in fashion next year" "They" being the Color Association of the United States.[1] Which had a lot more clout when the US made its own textiles. They also used to manage the consumer electronics color cycle, from grey to black to white to colors to putty and back to grey again. [1] https://www.colorassociation.com/ https://www.colorassociation.com/
- gmadsen 5y agoThe isnt entirely true. clothing companies mimic what was on the runway a season before and mass produce it for consumer consumption
- KozmoNau7 5y agoThere are cool people with the seemingly uncanny ability to predict fashion, but it's a bit of a trick. They do something that's different and can be monetized, and the industry grabs on to that and tries to push it as The Next Big Thing, through advertising, magazine contacts and social media influencers. Meanwhile, the production lines are running full-tilt so they can have the clothes in stores for when the right level of desire/FOMO has been built up. At that point, the cutting edge fashionable people are already on to the next thing, and the cycle continues. Since it's impossible for ordinary people without industry contacts to be ahead of the curve, do you try to follow the fashion trends, knowing that you'll always be at least a half step behind? Or do you stick with tried and true stalwarts, such as slim-to-regular cut dark denim jeans, Oxford shirts, sports jackets and so on, never being super fashionable, but also certainly not sartorially hopeless? Trends are almost always pushed or at least encouraged by financial interests.
- jimmygrapes 5y agoYou might find this interesting: https://www.vanityfair.com/style/2012/01/prisoners-of-style-201201 https://www.vanityfair.com/style/2012/01/prisoners-of-style-...