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I think their argument is a little more subtle than that -- the issue isn't really that there are no negative results, but rather that the shape of the distribu
by jonas21 5y ago
I think their argument is a little more subtle than that -- the issue isn't really that there are no negative results, but rather that the shape of the distribution of results is funny.
They're saying you'd expect the results to follow a normal distribution centered at some value. Instead, we see a large number of studies clustered just above zero and a right tail, but no left tail. I think they're arguing that this is because the left side of the distribution is unpublished, and without knowing what it looks like, you can't come to a conclusion.