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Curious if anyone has made (or can make) a specific prediction (based on their climate models and assumptions) that can be verified in a timely manner and/or de
by stevenalowe 5y ago
Curious if anyone has made (or can make) a specific prediction (based on their climate models and assumptions) that can be verified in a timely manner and/or demonstrated in a repeatable experiment?
Same question for any proposed "solution".
Scientists make verifiable predictions and repeatable experiments based on causal hypotheses that are falsifiable. Politicians sell fear.
- lm28469 5y agoWay too many variables, we barely understand most of the mechanisms and how they're inter connected. All we know is that we had a kind of stable ecosystem that's being disrupted by massive amount of CO2 and other gases being introduced in the system in a relatively short amount of time. It's a slowish process but whatever the outcome is it doesn't look like we'll be able to reverse it
- Marcus9 5y agoYes, literally thousands of times on a wide range of issues. * Predictions that increased carbon in atmosphere would lead to higher average temperatures -> has happened. * Predictions that extreme weather events like "once in a hundred years" floods would become more common -> has happened. * Predictions that wildfire season would start earlier in the spring and end later in the fall -> has happened. * Predictions that we'd see reductions in glaciers and arctic ice -> has happened. * Predictions that we'd see a collapse in biodiversity and mass extinctions -> has happened. Scientists can't tell you exactly where an electron is and how fast it's moving, but they can still predict how it interacts with things around it.
- stevenalowe 5y agoThank you. Really hard time finding specifics. :/ lots of references to predictions in articles but original sources elusive. Got links?