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Not a popular opinion, but I have a lot of faith in humanity's _future_ engineering ability. Yes, we are dealing with climate consequences right now. And yes, w
by ryandvm 5y ago
Not a popular opinion, but I have a lot of faith in humanity's _future_ engineering ability. Yes, we are dealing with climate consequences right now. And yes, we should be trying to improve resource efficiency right now. But that said, the worst is almost certainly yet to come, and it is exceedingly difficult to solve the problems of tomorrow with the technology today.
A little anecdote to illustrate this is that at the turn of the last century the streets of New York City were projected to be buried under 10 feet of horse shit. No joke. Was that a silly scenario to consider? Not really. But it turned out to be completely resolved by unforeseen technological improvements that made the entire conjecture nonsensical.
Just spit-balling, but let's say we crack fusion technology in the next 50 years and unlock effectively limitless energy. With free power maybe we run massive atmospheric scrubbers and bury CO2 and methane in the earth. I'm sure there are other climate control techniques that unlimited power unlocks.
My point is this: think back at any point in the last 500 years and try to imagine them solving the problems of 100 years into the future. It's a laughable thought experiment. Their solutions would have been ludicrous given the technology that future generations develop. What hubris it takes to not realize that we are _at least_ as primitive in relation to future generations.
- cogman10 5y ago50 years ago was 1970. We had solar power, nuclear energy, wind energy, and plastics. The energy landscape today looks exactly the same as it did in 1970. The only difference is renewables are significantly cheaper and batteries significantly better. Fusion looks to be just as close today as it looked to be in the 1970s.