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For practical purposes most people will consider the pandemic over when the local epidemic is over. Which is when COVID infections reach a stable baseline and w
by armada651 5y ago
For practical purposes most people will consider the pandemic over when the local epidemic is over. Which is when COVID infections reach a stable baseline and we're not experiencing multiple major outbreaks simultaneously.
In other words, it's over when this map is mostly blue and yellow: https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#cases_community https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#cases_community
- amrcnimgrnt 5y agoThank you for giving me an objective metric, but I don't think the objective standard follows from your first sentence: most people consider the pandemic over in their local area.
- armada651 5y agoI didn't say local area. A pandemic is an epidemic in multiple countries. So when I say "local epidemic" I mean the epidemic in their country. I expect that some countries will reach herd immunity and have no major outbreaks anymore while there are still outbreaks across other parts of the world.