3 ms·
You're right, those of us reviewing evidence must strive for 100% accuracy. One of the issues with the cherry blossom data is that it's difficult to be 100% sur
by eschulz 5y ago
You're right, those of us reviewing evidence must strive for 100% accuracy. One of the issues with the cherry blossom data is that it's difficult to be 100% sure that we can accurately keep track of the Japanese calendar 1200+ years into the past.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Japanese_calendar https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Japanese_calendar
- whatshisface 5y agoFortunately, df(a x)/dx = 0 when f = C for all a.
- SV_BubbleTime 5y agoIt seems beyond obvious that we also aren’t accounting for selective breeding of cherry trees. Humans have had a hand in everything else, why wouldn’t we assume here too.
- yongjik 5y agoJapan traditionally used the lunisolar calendar - so if any record says "blossoms peaked at the fifth day of the fourth month," then it means it peaked at the fifth day after some day of the new moon, which can be calculated with very good precision. It should severely constrain potential calendar conversion errors.